Why it can be rational to vote

(David Goldman/AP) I like to run this one before every election, because I think it’s important. With a national election coming up,… Read More

A new controversy erupts over whether voter identification laws suppress minority turnout

It makes sense to think that voter identification laws would reduce turnout. After all, the whole point of the laws is to stop some people… Read More

Most of the bounces in Trump’s approval ratings aren’t real

Donald Trump’s approval rating is one of the key news stories of 2017. That’s true not just for political junkies. Approval — or the… Read More

A modest proposal for better polls: Gallup and Fox News working together

“I voted in Arlington” stickers are piled up at a polling place on Nov. 8. (Alex Wong/Getty Images) The polls were off this election by… Read More

Why it can be rational to vote

Wristbands for voters in Chicago. (Jim Young/Reuters) I like to run this one before every election, because I think it’s important: With a national… Read More

Do shark attacks swing elections?

A surfer carries his board into the water next to a sign declaring a shark sighting on Sydney’s Manly Beach in Australia. (David Gray/Reuters) Do… Read More

Yes, the party in power tends to lose votes over time. But how often?

Rutherford B. Hayes Evidence shows that incumbent parties lose vote share over time (as University of Texas at Austin professor Chris Wlezien writes in… Read More

Krugman wonders how the race could be close. Political science wonders how it could be otherwise.

Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton meets with attendees during a campaign stop in Fort Pierce, Fla., on Friday. (Matt Rourke/AP) In his recent New York Times… Read More

What do Google search results tell us about the Brexit vote?

(Georges Gobet/AFP/Getty Images) A couple of months ago, we reported on the success of European researcher Nikos Askitas in performing real-time tracking of public… Read More

Why I don’t believe the claim that Fox News can get Trump elected

Donald Trump with Fox News anchor Megyn Kelly, who interviewed the presumptive Republican presidential nominee for her Fox network special “Megyn Kelly Presents.” (Eric Liebowitz/Fox)… Read More