Campaigns and elections

The Romney Polls

Nov 30 '12

Just a quick note that The New Republic has obtained some of the Romney campaign’s internal polls of swing states (though not, alas, for Florida and Virginia.)  At first glance it is interesting to note that their numbers were much closer to the final Romney vote, while well underestimating the actual Obama vote – but also that those Romney numbers should not in themselves have convinced the campaign that Romney would win in most of those places. Instead, they seem to have fallen hard for the siren call of the myth of momentum…