See here. (Run it through Google translate if, like me, you don’t know any Russian.) I don’t know anything here, will defer to the experts on this one.
P.S. Tim Frye tells me that there was a sign at the demonstration over the weekend about Mr. Churov, the head of the State Electoral Commissions, “We don’t believe Churov, We believe Gauss.” I did a quick search and found this:
Tim also says there is a book by Mikhail Mygkov and Peter Ordeshook and one other person called Electoral Forensics which uses similar methods to analyze all russian elections, plus some in ukraine and even a couple of states in the US, e.g., florida in 2000, Ohio 2004.
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I ran it through Google Translate too, but the summary at the end was pretty clear: 15.2 million stuffed ballots.
Via @newsycombinator news.yc , detailed summary in English –
“Russian legislative elections 2011 – statistical evidence of vote fraud”
http://antonnikolenko.blogspot.com/2011/12/russian-legislative-elections-2011.html
Stuffing detected by artifacts in Turnout %.
Eyes went offline with so much text, even in my mother tongue.
On another note, the text in white under the you embedded calls Churov a bad word and says that even math proves that (I guess they mean statistics).
Best,
Irisha Mooi Almgren
A useful short article (in Russian) from the Golos NGO with links, which tries to estimate the results with likely falsification discounted
http://www.golos.org/news/4533
The book is called Forensics of Election Fraud and you can find it on Amazon here We read it in my Comparative Political Behavior Ph.D. course – I highly recommend it.
More broadly, there is a ton of this kind of “forensic” evidence on Russian blogs now.