Things aren’t looking good for freshly minted Ph.D.s—and they are looking especially bad for political theorists. Inside Higher Ed reports Michael Brintnall’s numbers on the political science job market and John made a graph:
Update: Commenters ask, and John delivers:
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That y-axis really ought to go all the way down to zero. Unless, of course, you’re trying to exaggerate the decline to make it look even worse than it is.
Would be super-interesting to see these numbers as a percentage of candidates on the job market. Not sure where that data would come from. But one could do some back-of-the-envelope calculations based on the number of Ph.D. granting institutions out there and the assumption that individuals who don’t get a job go on the market for at least one if not two more years.
The line should really be blue, unless you want people to think that jobs at Syracuse are especially in short supply.
I’ve been saying for 2 years now that the market will remain bad until 2013 at the earliest, because last year’s glut of unemployed good grad students will crowd out this years, and so on, until it gets worked through the system.
This graph is moderately on point, but it puts the difficult academic job market in the perspective of increasing undergraduate AND phd enrollment, at least in Canada.
Data are from Statistics Canada, faculty data are Statistics Canada via the Canadian Association of University Teachers.
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