The Washington Post has this interactive graphic on who Sarah Palin has endorsed and whether they have won or are Tea Party types or are women. This is all nice, but the real question is not depicted in the graph: is Palin endorsing front-runners or underdogs? It means nothing if Palin’s “record” is 10 wins and 4 losses if we know nothing about whether the candidates she endorsed were already likely to win or lose.
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It would also be great if they had the breakdown of gender and “type of Republican” over all candidates, for the bar graph on the right…
I agree with Sebastien; it’s certainly my *guess* that 40% women is significantly more women than the overall pool of Republican primary candidates, but I’d like some data to back that up, if there are any.
Also, are there any correlations between win/loss status and the other variables? Sample size is small, but if there are any effects large enough to be detectable they would be interesting to know about (other than “frontrunners are more likely to win”).
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