Sorry, this one isn’t baseball-related at all . . . I just wanted to point you to some cool graphs that Daniel Lee and I made from the Annenberg poll data:
See here for discussion and more data.
P.S. The statistical analysis is brute force. Sample size is big enough we can just plot the raw data, our only concession to sample size being to pool all the age categories over 90.
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It pains me to credit Jonah Goldberg with more than reptilian intelligence, but he’s one of the few on the Right who have figured this out (or at least one of the few who will publicly acknowledge having figured it out). This battle is lost for the right. It’s all but inevitable, demographically speaking, that a majority will emerge in favor of gay marriage.
They Republicans are going to find themselves squarely on the wrong side of history. I respect the temptation to milk it for all it’s worth while they can–Nixon and Reagan sure did with respect to blunt racists–but you’ve got to be smarter about it. That is, you’ve got to lay the groundwork for a plausible revisionist history in the future. If a guy like Romney gets the nomination (or wins the presidency), I think we will see him brave the wrath of the base and make some concessions in this direction, e.g. putting an openly gay person or two, probably of the lesbian variety, in a prominent position.
Hmph. The nature of the person doing the knowing of a gay person certainly effects this. I worked with a fellow (“George”) who disbelieved the gay population could be 3 to 7% percent. “Heck,” he said, “I don’t know ANY gay people.”
I said, “George, if you knew a guy who was gay, what makes you think he would tell you about it?” George, being honest in addition to his mild bigotry, admitted that they probably wouldn’t.
I do not support a state gay marriage law. I am in the middle of the spectrum. I am a very secular person but I do not believe that you should force churches or religious persons to accept a phenomena they find totally against their religious beliefs.
I am all for a civil union legislation and at the same time do as in France, separate the civil union from marriage. You get married according to you religious beliefs but it has no legal status in society. The legal status is given in a civil “civil union” by the local mayor or appointed government official.
Gay people get their equal protection and equal rights and the religious person can keep their “sacred holy marriage”.
However neither the religious social conservatives nor the radical gay activists will be happy. We moderates will, we’ll have shut up the loud mouth crazies.
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