Problems with poll adjustments that aggressively screen for likely voters

by Andrew Gelman on August 15, 2009

in Campaigns and elections

See Nate’s thoughts from today and Yair’s from last year.

Comments on this entry are closed.

Previous post: My thoughts on Gates-gate

Next post: Left-handed catchers

Search
About

The mission of this blog is described in our inaugural post. And, technically, an orangutan is an ape, not a monkey.

Named 2010 Blog of the Year by
Subscribe

Subscribe in a Reader

Subscribe by Email

Follow @monkeycageblog
Authors

John Sides (GW)
Erik Voeten (Georgetown)
Andrew Gelman (Columbia)
Joshua Tucker (NYU)
Henry Farrell (GW)

We are professors of political science.

We remember Lee Sigelman. For more, see here.

Questions?
Editorial Assistant

Jonathan Robinson (GW)
Occasional Contributors

Larry Bartels (Vanderbilt)
Sarah Binder (GW)
Erica Chenoweth (Wesleyan)
James Fearon (Stanford)
Daniel Hopkins (Georgetown)
David Karol (Maryland)
Gregory Koger (Miami)
Jason Lyall (Yale)
Nolan McCarty (Princeton)
Hans Noel (Georgetown)
Andrew Rudalevige (Dickinson)
Recent Comments
- SteveLaudig on How Libya Did and Did Not Affect the Security Council Vote on Syria
- I Stand with Planned Parenthood « cynthiabeard on Has the Public Become More Opposed to Abortion?
- Scott Monje on How Libya Did and Did Not Affect the Security Council Vote on Syria
- Fred on Will the US Restrain Israel on Iran? Unlikely.
- Sebastian on Will the US Restrain Israel on Iran? Unlikely.
Recent Posts
Categories
Archive
Blogroll

A Plain Blog About Politics
Abandoned Footnotes
Abstract Politics
Accelerate the Contradictions
Active Learning in Political Science
AidData
American Power Blog
Philip Arena
Tony Arend
Kai Arzheimer
A Shrewdness of Apes
A Sibilant Intake of Breath
Back Channels
Hugh Bartling
Bessette-Pitney
Chris Blattman
Ballots and Bullets
Laurent Bouvet
Miguel Centellas
Jacob Christensen
Coffee Shop Philosophy
Comparative Constitutions
Computational Legal Studies
Crooked Timber
Dart-Throwing Chimp
Patrick Deneen
Kim Yi Dionne: Haba Na Haba
Dan Drezner
The Duck of Minerva
Dukes and Wonks
Election Updates
Empirical Legal Studies
End of the American Century
Enik Rising
Epic Journey
Colin Farrelly
Mark Fredrickson
Frontloading HQ
Fruits and Votes
Fully Myelinated
Matthew Glassman
Andrew Gelman
Art Goldhammer
Shelby Grossman
Nils Gustaffson
Hand of Reason
Stephen Haptonstahl
Michael Heaney
In Medias Res
The Interpreter
IPE blog at UNC
Simon Jackman
Kids Prefer Cheese
King Politics
Lawyers, Guns and Money
Learning about Politics
Jacob Levy
Marc Lynch
Margin of Error
Mass Politics Profs
Laura McKenna
Model Politics
Networked Politics
Notes on Politics, Theory, and Photography
Brendan Nyhan
Ken Opalo
Outside the Beltway
Pardon Power
Roger Payne
Pileus
Pipes and Theories
Polemarchus
Political Arithmetik
Politics by the Numbers
Political Science at University of the Pacific
Polls and Votes
Pollster
Pollways
Polysigh
Presidential Power
Public Reason
Barry Pump
Carlisle Rainey
The Quantitative Peace
Reflective Pundit
Rule 22
Running Chicken
Michael Sances
Semi-Presidentialism
Signifying Nothing
Anne-Marie Slaughter
Smart Politics
Social Science Statistics Blog
David B. Sparks
Steven Taylor
Stochastic Democracy
Texas in Africa
Theory Talks
Thick Culture
The Thicket
Toward the Common Good
Uncommon Priors
UNL Political Science Graduate Student Blog
The Useless Tree
Utah Datapoints
Voir Dire
Voteview
https://my.vanderbilt.edu/csdi/
Stephen Walt
War and Health
Wikisum
The Wolf Den
You Study Politics, Right?
Zero Intelligence Agents