More on “Missing White Voters”

by John Sides on July 25, 2013 · 2 comments

in Campaigns and elections,Race

Beyond the fact that the 2012 dropouts do not look like a group that Republicans can count on for help in future elections, a focus on “missing voters” completely ignores what is almost certain to remain the most important source of change in the racial composition and political orientations of the American electorate for the foreseeable future — generational replacement

More from Alan Abramowitz and Ruy Teixeira here.  My related posts are here and here.

{ 2 comments }

eric July 25, 2013 at 3:20 pm

My cursory looks at the numbers on a local level have shown me that the dropout voter population was largely leaning Democratic. I hadn’t had much chance to see what the numbers were nationwide. Trende’s thesis didn’t make much sense to me. Thank you for this link.

TheSteelGeneral July 27, 2013 at 7:47 am

One of the more amusing scenarios Trende is sketching is to go for an ALL-White strategy: if the next repub can get 70 percent of the white vote, he’d win.
To be fair, he advises against it, but the very fact that he brought it up, shows some really effed up mindset.

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