by John Sides on December 7, 2012 · 1 comment

in Potpourri

* This Resurgent Republic graph demonstrates the perils of using pre-election polls to predict who will vote.

* “Romney Backers Using Computer,” but in 1968.

* A fascinating obituary.


* The novelty penalty.

{ 1 comment }

Matt Jarvis December 7, 2012 at 3:34 pm

That RR graph is very unconvincing.

2012 enthusiasm didn’t predict CHANGES in turnout from 2008 to 2012.
But, without controlling for enthusiasm in 2008, what good does that do us?

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