- This Resurgent Republic graph demonstrates the perils of using pre-election polls to predict who will vote.
- “Romney Backers Using Computer,” but in 1968.
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John Sides (GW)
Erik Voeten (Georgetown)
Andrew Gelman (Columbia)
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We are professors of political science.
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Questions?
{ 1 comment… read it below or add one }
That RR graph is very unconvincing.
2012 enthusiasm didn’t predict CHANGES in turnout from 2008 to 2012.
But, without controlling for enthusiasm in 2008, what good does that do us?