Courtesy of Thomas Holbrook. More discussion is in his post. These numbers show why, based on recent history, it would be unusual for the debates alone to close the gap between Obama and Romney.
by John Sides on October 2, 2012 · 1 comment
The Gamble: Choice and Chance in the 2012 Election
Forthcoming in September 2013. More information here.
Campaigns and Elections:
Red State Blue State
Regional Economic Voting
The Political Economy of Trust