Latest poll results: 56%-44%

by Andrew Gelman on September 27, 2012 · 5 comments

in Campaigns and elections

Juli sent in this:

Everybody’s laughing about this poll but it looks accurate to me! According to the official figures, voter turnout in Texas in the last presidential election was 46% of the voting-age population. So 44% seems like a reasonable guess for this year.

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