Latest poll results: 56%-44%

by Andrew Gelman on September 27, 2012 · 5 comments

in Campaigns and elections

Juli sent in this:

Everybody’s laughing about this poll but it looks accurate to me! According to the official figures, voter turnout in Texas in the last presidential election was 46% of the voting-age population. So 44% seems like a reasonable guess for this year.


Youxia Lei September 27, 2012 at 9:40 pm

YES for who and NO for who??? Of course, blacks legally vote twice.

Acilius September 28, 2012 at 11:22 am

Even if voter turnout is 46% again this year, there will likely be enough support for third-party candidates that the combined Obama/ Romney vote would not exceed 44% of the total.

Culotte September 29, 2012 at 8:12 am

Im not sure why but I cant stop snickering at that. I just have to wonder, how many people had to not notice the problem in order for it to go out like this?

jon in san jose October 22, 2012 at 10:39 pm

problem? what problem?

jon in san jose October 22, 2012 at 10:38 pm

As advocated by the Libertarian Party, and listed in all its internal contests, None Of The Above is sometimes the people’s choice.

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